Okwangoku, imeko yobhubhani wehlabathi isemandundu, idityaniswa nezinto ezinje ngekhonkco lokubonelela kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso okutya namandla, inqanaba lokunyuka kwamaxabiso lilonke kumazwe amaninzi aphuhlileyo liye latyhalelwa kwelona nqanaba liphezulu kwishumi leminyaka.Inani leengcali ezigunyazisiweyo zikholelwa ukuba uqoqosho lwehlabathi lungene "kwixesha leendleko eziphezulu" kwaye libonisa "imeko emithandathu ephezulu"
Ukunyuka kweendleko zokukhusela impilo.UTang Jianwei, umphandi oyintloko weBhanki yoNxibelelwano lweZiko loPhando lwezeMali, ukholelwa ukuba kwimbono yexesha elifutshane, ubhubhani ukhokelele ekunciphiseni ukuveliswa kweemveliso eziphambili, ukuvinjelwa kwezinto zamazwe ngamazwe kunye norhwebo, ukunqongophala kokunikezelwa kwemveliso. iimveliso kunye nokunyuka kweendleko.Kwanokuba imeko iya iphucuka ngokuthe ngcembe, ukuthintelwa nokulawulwa kwezifo ezingubhubhani nokusasazeka kwezifo ezingubhubhani kuya kuba yinto eqhelekileyo.U-Liu Yuanchun, usekela mongameli weYunivesithi yase-Renmin yase-China, uthe ukuqheleka kothintelo kunye nolawulo lobhubhane ngokuqinisekileyo kuya konyusa iindleko zethu zokhuseleko kunye neendleko zempilo.Ezi ndleko zifana nohlaselo lwabanqolobi oluthi “9.11″ olukhokelele ekunyukeni kabukhali kweendleko zokhuseleko lwehlabathi.
Iindleko zabasebenzi ziyenyuka.Ngokwengxelo yophando ekhutshwe yi-China Macroeconomic Forum nge-26 kaMatshi, emva kokuqhambuka kobhubhane ngo-2020, imakethi yezemisebenzi yehlabathi iye yatshintsha kakhulu, ngakumbi kumazwe athuthukileyo, kwaye kuye kwakho intswela-ngqesho.Ngophuhliso oluqhubekayo lobhubhane kunye notshintsho kwimigaqo-nkqubo yokuthintela ubhubhane welizwe, izinga lentswelo-ngqesho lehlile.Kule nkqubo, nangona kunjalo, ukwehla kwezinga lokuthatha inxaxheba kwabasebenzi kudale ukunqongophala kwabasebenzi ngamaqondo ahlukeneyo kumashishini ahlukeneyo, ehamba kunye nokunyuka kwemivuzo.E-US, umzekelo, imivuzo yeyure inyuke nge-6% ngo-Epreli 2020, xa kuthelekiswa nomyinge womvuzo ngo-2019, kwaye inyuke nge-10.7% ukusukela ngoJanuwari 2022.
Iindleko zokuchithwa kwehlabathi zinyukile.U-Liu Yuanchun uthe ukususela kwingxabano yorhwebo ye-Sino-US, onke amazwe abonakalisile kulwahlulo lwemveli lwenkqubo yabasebenzi, oko kukuthi, ukwakhiwa kwekhonkco lokubonelela kunye nexabiso kunye nokwahlulwa okuthe nkqo kwabasebenzi njengowona mzimba uphambili kwixesha elidlulileyo, kwaye ihlabathi kufuneka linikele ingqalelo engakumbi kukhuseleko kunokusebenza ngokusulungekileyo.Ngoko ke, onke amazwe azakhela iilophu zawo zangaphakathi kwaye aqulunqa izicwangciso "zesondo" kwiiteknoloji eziphambili kunye nobuchwepheshe obuphambili, okubangelwa ukuhla kobuchule bokwabiwa kwezixhobo zehlabathi kunye nokunyuka kweendleko.Iingcali ezinje ngoZhang Jun, ingcali yezoQoqosho kaMorgan Stanley Securities, uWang Jun, ingcali yezoQoqosho yaseZhongyuan Bank, bakholelwa ukuba ingaba lizinga eliphezulu lokusweleka elibangelwa kukunqongophala kweemaski kunye nezixhobo zokuphefumla kwihlabathi kwinqanaba lokuqala lobhubhani, okanye ukuveliswa kweefowuni eziphathwayo kunye neemoto ezibangelwa kukunqongophala kweetshiphusi kamva Ukwehla okanye ukunqunyanyiswa kwemveliso kuye kwaveza ubuthathaka beli candelo lehlabathi labasebenzi elisekelwe kumgaqo-siseko wePareto, kwaye amazwe akasaluthathi ulawulo lweendleko njengeyona nto iphambili kuqwalaselwa. kuyilo lwekhonkco lonikezelo lwehlabathi.

Iindleko zenguqu eluhlaza zonyuka.Iingcali zikholelwa ukuba emva kwe "Isivumelwano saseParis", "i-carbon peak" kunye ne "carbon neutral" izivumelwano ezijoliswe kuzo ezisayinwe ngamazwe ahlukeneyo ziye zazisa ihlabathi kwixesha elitsha lokuguqulwa kohlaza.Ukutshintshwa kwamandla okuluhlaza kwixesha elizayo kuya kunyusa ixabiso lamandla emveli kwelinye icala, kwaye kwandise utyalo-mali kumandla amatsha aluhlaza kwelinye icala, okuya kuphakamisa iindleko zamandla aluhlaza.Nangona uphuhliso lwamandla amatsha ahlaziyekayo lunokunceda ukunciphisa uxinzelelo lwexesha elide kumaxabiso ombane, isikali samandla ahlaziyekayo kunzima ukukhawulelana nemfuno ekhulayo yamandla ehlabathi kwixesha elifutshane, kwaye kusekho uxinzelelo olunyukayo lokunyuka kwexabiso lamandla ixesha elifutshane neliphakathi.

Iindleko zeGeopolitical ziyenyuka.Iingcali ezifana noLiu Xiaochun, iSekela likaDean leZiko loPhando lwezeMali kwiYunivesithi yaseShanghai Jiao Tong, uZhang Liqun, umphandi kwiSebe loPhando lwe-Macroeconomic kwiZiko loPhando loPhuhliso lweBhunga likaRhulumente kunye nezinye iingcali zikholelwa ukuba okwangoku, imingcipheko ye-geopolitical ikhona. ukwanda ngokuthe ngcembe, nto leyo ethe yachaphazela kakhulu imeko yezopolitiko nezoqoqosho kwihlabathi jikelele, kunye nonikezelo lwamandla kunye nemveliso.Amatyathanga aba eethe-ethe ngakumbi, kwaye iindleko zothutho zonyuka kakhulu.Ukongezelela, ukuwohloka kweemeko ze-geopolitical ezifana nengxabano yaseRashiya-ye-Ukrainian kuye kwakhokelela ekubeni inani elikhulu labantu kunye nezinto eziphathekayo zisetyenziselwa iimfazwe kunye neengxabano zezopolitiko endaweni yemisebenzi enemveliso.Eli xabiso likhulu ngokungathandabuzekiyo.


Ixesha lokuposa: Aug-20-2022